Thursday, March 14, 2024

Addictive, exclusive, experience: Critical factors for new products or companies

 I had quite a day yesterday, meeting with a potential partner at Starbucks, getting my iPhone repaired at the Apple store and a number of other activities.  Along the way I encountered a couple of very successful companies:  Starbucks, where I met a potential partner, Apple, where I went to get some repairs done on my iPhone and Chik-Fil-A, which was down the hall from the Apple store.

Compared to other nearby competitors, these three outlets were exceptionally busy and seemed to be doing very well.  While they appear to be very different in their product offerings, in many ways these firms highlight some characteristics that new businesses and people creating new products should review.

When you boil it all down, what makes these companies successful is the 1) sense of uniqueness or exclusivity or 2) the customer service and customer journey or 3) the addictiveness of the product.  Note that while these firms are in different industries or sectors, I think these factors are what differentiate them and keep customers flowing to their outlets and products, even when you could argue that two of them (Starbucks and Chik-Fil-A) provide a commodity product.  Let's look at the three to understand what we can extract from what they are doing.

Apple

If we consider the three factors I described above (exclusivity or uniqueness, customer experience and addictiveness) we can look at what Apple does with its products, retail outlets and service to see how closely they align to these features.  First, Apple has always positioned itself as the anti-PC, so it is somewhat unique and exclusive.  What's more, as you acquire more Apple devices (Macs, Watches, etc), you gradually build a moat where data is easily transferred and shared.  Second, consider the journey.  Apple tries to make its products and services well-designed, even the boxes are highly engineered.  Apple retail agents are kind, open to discussion and explanation and never pushy.  The customer experience around the product and the service is top notch, compared to other hardware providers.  Finally, the concept of addiction.  While I have an iPhone and a Mac, I swap between those platforms and PCs at work, but I do know a number of people who only operate on the Apple platforms.  I do think there is a badge of loyalty and some addictiveness to the Apple platform.

Chik-Fil-A

While Apple commands high premiums for its products in a high-tech space, Chik-Fil-A operates in a highly competitive, low-tech space.  In fact, many of Chik-Fil-A's competitors have created new chicken sandwiches to compete directly with Chik-Fil-A, and several of them, including Popeye's new chicken sandwich, are very good.  Let's consider the three factors as described above in context of Chik-Fil-A.

Chik-Fil-A is relatively exclusive, strangely enough, carefully controlling the number and spacing of its stores.  In an area that might have several McDonalds or other fast-food competitors, Chik-Fil-A will only have one store, and that store is always closed on Sunday.  Evaluating Chik-Fil-A on a customer experience journey map is interesting, because Chik-Fil-A seems to ignore all concepts of throughput and line management.  Unlike say McDonalds, which wants to serve customers very quickly, customers at Chik-Fil-A seem comfortable fighting long drive in lines and going a bit out of their way for the sandwiches.  However, the in person service is uniformly excellent, down to the "my pleasure" as you drive away.  I think it's because the sandwiches and fries are addictive that people overlook the drive through issues.  It remains to be seen, as other competitors close the gap on the chicken sandwich, if Chik-Fil-A can attract customers who have to wait for the sandwiches.

Starbucks

Starbucks, like Chik-Fil-A, sells a commodity product - coffee, but its retail establishments are constantly busy.  It was unique in that it was one of the first truly national coffee chains, with its own brand and own distinct flavors.  I'm not quite so sure that Starbucks is as unique or exclusive as it once was.  As an infrequent customer and a non-coffee drinker, the customer experience is frankly a bit bewildering, but I think that adds to the mystique.  I can never tell the difference between sizes or flavors or types of coffee, but that simply makes me a coffee outsider.  Starbucks customers know their sizes, flavors, caffeine doses and have their own language.  What to me seems rushed, slow and disorganized to Starbucks aficionados seems poetic.  Finally, their products are addicting.  Caffeine is a legal drug and Starbucks has created dozens of flavors and sizes to both introduce coffee to people who don't drink it and to entice existing coffee drinkers. 

One other thing about Starbucks - the coffee brings you in, but the social aspect of a third place cannot be overlooked.  Starbucks is providing a place for people to meet and work, and that additional benefit cannot be overlooked.

What does this say about the creation of a new product or company?

The best products or companies are physically or socially or economically addictive.  Even when it's easier and faster to go to McDonalds or another fast-food location, people will endure inefficient lines or go out of their way to get Chik-Fil-A.  Google has made it so easy to use their search engine, and convinced people that it is free to use, that it has become ubiquitous, almost a backplane rather than an application.  Once you have an Apple product, you want other Apple products because each one individually is easy to use, and in combination they become easier to use.

New companies or new products should consider all three of these aspects:  uniqueness or exclusivity, customer journey and addictiveness.  How can your product or company distinguish itself on several of these components?  Note that even in what are essentially commodity markets - coffee and fast food - Starbucks and Chik-Fil-A are winning against their competitors, offering either better experience (Chik-Fil-A) or an additional feature, such as a co-working or meeting space.

But it's also clear that you don't have to have all three to win.  If you have a great product that's reasonably addictive with good but not great customer service (as I would argue Chik-Fil-A has) then your customers will endure long lines at the drive up.  Apple probably comes the close to the trifecta, providing reasonably good customer service and customer journey, combined with a sense of design and exclusivity, with a reasonably addictive set of products.  Starbucks is probably the weakest of the three, but it sells the product that is the most addictive.

What must you do to create a new product or company with these attributes?

  • Low barrier to entry, free trial or easy to learn.  Addictiveness starts with a simple trial that leaves the user (I mean customer) wanting more.  Your product or company must have a service or offering that is easy to try and really compelling.  This is why real drug dealers almost always provide free samples initially, to get the user hooked.  You need to provide a free trial or very inexpensive way to start using the product or service, or, like Starbucks and Chik-Fil-A, have a reasonably low-priced product with high throughput.  Apple violates this to some degree because their products have a high acquisition point, but they are easy to learn.  Increasingly, the iPhone is a gateway to other devices.  How do you make it easy for people to try out what you do, lower the barrier to entry?
  • Establish a theory of the business and ensure the customer journey. Make it dead simple for people to find and use your product or service, as much as possible simplify the customer journey.  Apple does this, to the extent that many of their products don't have user manuals.  Starbucks doesn't need to do this, because everyone drinks coffee anyway, so those of us that don't often find Starbucks a bit intimidating, but I use Starbucks as a meeting place, not a source of caffeine.  What does your intentional or (worse) unintentional customer journey communicate to customers?
  • Provide a secondary benefit.  For Apple it is a sense of design, of being on the cutting edge, of being integrated across platforms.  For Chik-Fil-A, its the "my pleasure" at the end of the transaction, as if the people at Chik-Fil-A actually get pleasure from serving you.  At Starbucks, the coffee or drinks are actually the price to pay for admission into a meeting space.  What secondary benefit can you provide that is either directly or indirectly linked to your core product?
  • Be Authentic.  I haven't used this word yet, because it is overused and has lost its value and meaning, but I think all three of these firms are truly authentic.  They are OK if you don't like how they operate, or the tradeoffs you must endure to use their products.  Apple is OK if they don't own all of the market share but want you to believe in their vision and way of working.  Chik-Fil-A isn't always the closest or easiest establishment to reach, and wears some of its beliefs on it's sleeve, but is pretty unapologetic. How do you create your authentic position and voice, and how to do you maintain that authenticity in every interaction?
  • Build a community.  As people and communities become less socially engaged, as we retreat into our corners, companies are stepping in to create communities where social organizations, bowling leagues and religious institutions used to fill a gap.  Starbucks creates a community of coffee drinkers who know what a "half-this, partial that, with room" means. In other words, they have their own language.  How can you create a community that shares values, focus and even language?
  • Make it addictive.  While I don't think there are a lot of products that are legally addictive, caffeine is one.  However, Apple has made its products addictive.  People start with an iPhone, migrate to the iWatch and end up on a Mac.  Suddenly they cannot escape the Apple platforms and are comforted by those platforms and rely on them.  Personally. I'm close to an addiction with Chik-Fil-A fries.  What about your product or company leaves people wanting more?

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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 6:31 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Who is minding the change and culture store?

 In my last two blogs, I made the argument that given how fast change is happening, your strategy must incorporate and address external change and the ability to change internally.  Otherwise, you are creating strategy that ignores exceptionally powerful forces that are creating change and shifting the competitive markets in real time.  In the more recent blog, I wrote about what I consider the most difficult thing to change in an organization - its culture.  People can change, business models and financial models can be changed with some difficulty.  Products and services can be reworked or redirected.  These changes could be difficult but possible, but only if the prevailing sense of how the business sees itself is open to change as well.  This is why understanding how organizational culture works, and how to encourage it to change, is so important.  Unlike people or products, a leader cannot place his or her finger on culture or pull one lever to change existing culture.  Changing culture takes emphasis, time and commitment.

So, if change is accelerating and it threatens your strategy, and you need to shift your strategy and your organization, improving your change models and change capacity is critical.  What's critical to enabling and accelerating change in your organization is getting a better sense of the culture, how it works, how it is influenced and becoming far more intentional about the culture.  So, with all that said, here's the key question:  who is minding your ability to change, and influencing what the culture cares about?

The likely answers are no one and everyone, respectively.

Who focuses on change capacity?

Everyone in your company's leadership team is concerned about change.  There is an external pace of change that is hard to match and often hard to understand, since change occurs in many different dimensions.  Existing competitors are taking actions, while new entrants force new market dynamics.  New alternatives or new solutions threaten to disrupt the existing market.  Customers and prospects are constantly shifting their demands.  External change can be influenced but cannot be controlled.

What can be controlled is the internal capacity and pace of change, which depends on two factors:  what the company believes is a winning proposition in the near future, based on market trends and anticipated shifts in the market, and where the biggest change barriers or challenges exist within the existing culture.  Leaders need to create a reason and a direction to change based on reasonable predictions about future competitive positions and threats, and we need to reduce internal resistance to change.

Creating a reason to change isn't too hard.  Identifying trends in the marketplace and designing potential scenarios to determine where the company wants to position itself and how it will compete, these are not difficult tasks but require time and focus.  Acting on these interpretations is the difficult component, because these actions have risk associated with them.  Acting could mean developing a new product or business model before the market emerges, as an example.

Identifying and influencing cultural or capability change barriers, is much more difficult.  Corporate culture resists change because it takes effort to change, and change is risky and uncertain.  Corporate cultures have successfully resisted and waited out change before and have learned that most change can be delayed or avoided.  It's only when management defines a burning platform and leaves no options other than change that change occurs.  

Burning platforms or change capacity

Most people involved in change programs will tell you that change occurs when all other options are exhausted.  That is the burning platform argument.  What this fails to address is that organizations and people may WANT to change but don't know HOW to change, so they fail to act until there are no other options.  What leaders need to do is help people and cultures understand HOW to change, creating change knowledge, change skill and change capacity, and then using those skills to change more regularly.

The fact is that in the past, change happened seldom and with some warning.  Of course, even then, companies were slow to react.  Now, change is happening frequently and often without a lot of warning.  Companies that cannot change effectively will find themselves offering products that people do not want, or business models that people no longer request.  Just look at the shift from "ripping" CDs for music on the original iPod, to solutions like Spotify and Pandora.  The entire "as a service" model is radically reshaping how businesses work, and yet many are unprepared for a new reality.

Who minds the store?

So, who in your organization minds the culture and who minds change capacity?  Culture is actually minded and reinforced by everyone, all the time.  To change a culture, everyone needs to be of one mind, willing to implement new models of behavior, new decision-making criteria, new reward systems and new risk tolerances, and then reinforce those changes.  Change capacity isn't managed by anyone.  HR often owns training, which could improve change skills.  Leaders usually direct change programs but often are distracted by more important activities.  System and process owners dislike change because it means reworking established processes or core systems.  Most organizations have little or no support for ongoing consistent change, or to build change skills or capacities.

Yet that's what's needed most in the new competitive environment.  What we need is the ability to understand markets, customers and competitors, anticipate future competitive opportunities and shift strategies and capabilities quickly.  This means that organizations need to be far more adaptable and flexible, but also able to anticipate the future and act accordingly.  It means that corporations should be building change capacity into their teams, people, processes and systems.

Corporations have CFOs who manage the financials, and CMOs who manage marketing, and other "C" level officers who manage key functions.  What corporations lack is a concentrated effort and centralized leader or leadership team that focuses on building change capacity and on preparing the culture for the change that is necessary.  Please note that I am NOT arguing that we need a Chief Culture Officer.  Culture and change capacity does not belong to one individual.  It is a collective leadership team effort.  The risk is that when everyone owns something, then no one owns it.

Corporations need to adapt to more rapidly changing market conditions and consumer expectations. They need to become more adaptable, more nimble and more responsive, if not predictive.  This cannot happen without building change skill and change capacity, and cannot happen without creating a corporate culture that expects and anticipates change.

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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 7:50 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, March 06, 2024

Why you need a faster, more nimble culture

 I wrote a piece last week introducing the idea that change is strategic, and that strategy should consider change competency as a core competency.  Change is happening so quickly and from so many different directions and dimensions that companies cannot create strategy without also preparing for and being ready to change. Companies cannot build static strategies that stretch over 3 or 5 years.  Strategy should be continually developed and re-evaluated, rather than developed once and put on a shelf.  If change is so prevalent and competitors are constantly entering and leaving markets, we don't need to worry about change management, we need to be change agents and create change capacity in the business.

If you are still with me so far, then the question might be - how do we create change capacity in our companies?  In the previous post, I indicated that you'd need the same things in order to change as you need to operate your businesses - good people, flexible and dynamic processes and systems that don't lock in processes and business models from the time you implemented the software a decade ago.  But you'll need to focus on at least one other major change barrier, and that's your corporate culture.

For decades, we've nurtured a careful, risk adverse, wait and see culture in most businesses, which is reinforced by compensation models, personnel recruitment and promotion, little tolerance for risk and uncertainty.  Not to mention that the new metrics most companies are governed by are now quarterly (at best) or monthly (at worst) EBITDA and other financial metrics.  If the change you are going to implement doesn't pay off for a year, but your evaluations occur monthly on an EBITDA basis, how likely are you to implement change?

Defining culture and its power

First, we ought to define what culture is, at least in this context.  Every company has a culture.  It is defined by the spoken or written, and just as importantly the unspoken tenets and rules, what team members tolerate and what they don't tolerate.  It is made up of beliefs, norms, decision making criteria and other factors that aren't often written down, although a lot of good, strong cultures will often intentionally document and communicate their decision criteria, beliefs and norms to the whole company.

Now that I've given you a sense of what culture is, we need to acknowledge just how powerful culture is.  For an invisible, intangible concept, it is exceptionally powerful.  It governs the way people think, the ideas they generate, the risks they take.  Culture works its way into every decision, every investment, every action of a company.  And since it is so pervasive, and often reinforces a status quo mentality, culture becomes a brake on doing things in a new way.  You may have heard someone say, in regards to a change in process or a new way of doing things " we don't do that here" or "that's not how we work".  These are expressions by individuals who are voicing what the culture would say, if the culture could talk.

Culture as an accelerator not a brake

What most companies need now are cultures of urgency and change, rather than the reactive, wait and see cultures that exist.  While it's nice to argue, as I did in my previous post, that companies need to embrace change, they cannot do that without a serious recalibration of their existing culture.

Why?  Strategies, like CEOs, come and go.  Fads such as artificial intelligence or digital transformation will emerge, run hot, draw a lot of attention and flame out.  Culture sticks around.  Need proof?  Look at Kodak.  As an R&D leader in digital photography, Kodak and its culture were so wedded to film production that they lost the digital camera battle, sticking with business models based on producing film, even though they were one of the leaders of digital technology.  Culture is slow to change, very pervasive and the biggest adherents to existing culture are often the most important or powerful people.  Notice I used two words, important and powerful.

There are powerful people in every organization at every level of the business.  You know these people; they are the ones who know how to get things done within the system.  They are the people that leaders turn to when they need an important project done.  They have mastered the internal processes and culture, know how they work, and know how to succeed within these frameworks.  Their value proposition is tied to the existing culture, so to rework the culture means they need to reframe their own value propositions.  Their power, such as it is, emanates from working with and through the existing culture.  Given this alignment to existing culture, some of a company's best people will be the least interested in changing the culture.

Educating and modifying culture

One should not speak about changing a culture, because culture like bureaucracies is highly resistant to change and has strong defenses.  No, we should talk about creating incentives for the culture to change, educating its staunchest defenders about the need for change, and running small pilots to demonstrate that change can create a better way of working.

Changing a culture requires changing incentives throughout the organization, and educating those who reinforce the culture most heavily to adapt and adjust to a new cultural model, one that embraces speed and change, rather than a reactive model and complacency.

For too long we've delegated the power to define and refine culture to others, or not taken the time to understand just how powerful culture can be and its influence on a business.  We need a much more direct way of working with corporate culture, a recognition that it exists and is powerful, and must be brought along in order to introduce more speed and agility to the corporation.

Shifting the culture to embrace change

First, we need to acknowledge that culture exists, is real and is powerful.  Then we need to agree on what the actual culture of the business is, and what we want it to be.  Think of this as current state and future state.  Then we'll need to identify who the keepers of the culture are, and encourage them to see a new future, where the culture supports and actually encourages the new behaviors that we want - speed, agility, the capacity to change quickly.  Of course, concepts like risk tolerance and incentives will also need to be addressed.  These are the outward symbols that indicate what the culture will do.  Just understanding your existing culture, its strengths and weaknesses, and the amount it needs to change is important.

Of course, you'll need a concerted effort to follow this analysis to create the conditions for the culture and people to adopt a new way of working and thinking. This is not an overnight change, but one that can occur over a period of months.  But what that investment will do is prepare the company to compete in a VUCA world much more effectively than it does today.

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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 12:08 PM 0 comments

Thursday, February 29, 2024

Change Management is strategy and vice versa

 I was reviewing the website of a strategy consulting firm recently, and their focus on strategy and team alignment felt like the same old, same old.  I read further to discover that they focus on passion and mission (hello Simon Sinek).  But what struck me about their work is that they also focus on culture and change management.  These latter two concepts were the things that got my attention.

In a time when everyone is focused on analytics, on artificial intelligence, on strategy and on mission, focusing on change and culture is almost counterintuitive, but it's probably what we should be focusing on.  When others zig, it may be time to zag.  As more and more emphasis is placed on analytics, management through data, artificial intelligence and other quantitative factors, it's probably time to reinforce the qualitative side of management.  Management focus on culture and change management is sorely lacking.

Today, I want to focus on change:  why we change, how we change, and what the future holds for change.  I also want to shift from the idea of "change management", which I think is an oxymoron, to change acceleration, which is where I think companies need to be.  Finally, I want to build a case that change management is integral to strategy, not a supporting element or an afterthought.

First, let's talk about why change is difficult and why change management is self-defeating.

Change is difficult.

Change is difficult because no matter how much we want to deny it, corporations are just large agglomerations of people.  And, no matter how much scientific management we have, we aren't Vulcans, who reason only with logic.  People are full of emotion, ownership, pettiness, jealousy and fear.  This means that people individually, and companies more broadly, operate on emotion as much as logic.  And we've taught people, especially in medium and large organizations, that most change is bad - bad for them individually and bad for the company.  Plus, if we are being honest, most people are comfortable with the status quo and don't enjoy change.  They prefer things the way they are and are concerned or fearful about the outcomes of change.  What do they stand to gain?  What do they stand to lose?  What's in it for me (WIIFM)?

Further, intended or not, change almost always creates winners and losers.  No one wants to lose control or power or responsibility if they have it already, so change is feared.

Another reason change is difficult is the power of inertia.  From Newton onward, we've known that bodies at rest tend to stay at rest.  Change in any dimension requires energy to be added to a system.  Most employees are happy where they are, in a known environment and don't want to take on additional work that will come from change.

The thing you want to do least is what is most important to do

What happens, then, when the thing you want to do least is one of the most important things to do? You may not like change, and your business may not want to change, but you don't control external factors that are constantly changing.  You don't control the number of new entrants in your market who aren't concerned about industry stability.  You don't control how robotics and automation and machine learning are shifting job responsibilities.  You don't control the pace of change in your industry.  You certainly don't control your customers and their constantly shifting demands.

In fact, if you aren't constantly changing, you are slowing withering away.  You don't have to change, but you don't have to survive either.  However, it's no longer a question of survival.  Without the ability to change, your company won't survive, and by extension, if you don't change and grow personally, you will find yourself unemployable.  Like change?  Good, because a lot of it is coming your way.  Dislike change? Better learn to adapt or find something new to do.

Whether you like and embrace change, which few people do, or dislike change, which is the attitude of most people, you and your company need to become far more adept at change.

But we have change management paradigms to help, right?

Three reasons change management doesn't work anymore.

1.  Pace and nature of change.  Capabilities are spreading exceptionally quickly on a global scale based on the internet, cell phone network, machine learning and more readily available educational platforms.  Look at Lewin's model of Change - the concept of "unfreezing", changing and "refreezing".  When something is frozen it is unchangeable.  The pace of change doesn't allow for unfreezing and refreezing.  You need to change constantly.

2.  Funding and financing flow to the companies and regions that demonstrate the best returns.  Always true but this is happening far more quickly than before.  Change happens in all directions simultaneously.  When China was still a nascent economy and Europe still recovering from World Wars, the US stood astride the world.  No longer.  We live in a dynamic, multi-polar world where competition can come from anywhere, at any time.  Our change models were built in a time when change was more predictable.  Today change happens more consistently and emerges from a wider array of locations and industries than before.

3.  Resources (people) - Businesses may need fewer people as automation and AI replace people or off-shoring replaces on-shore bodies, but the people you need are more valuable, and are attractive to other employers.  As we need fewer people to get more done thanks to automation and AI, those fewer people become more valuable, more specialized, harder to replace and more transient.  You cannot succeed throwing people at a problem, and the most valuable people have more options than ever before.

When your inputs, markets and people resources are constantly changing and evolving, you need a culture and ethos that embraces change and enables change.  You don't need "change management".  You need change acceleration.

Shifting mindsets from change management to change acceleration.

Change management is an oxymoron because 1) few people really like change 2) as the pace of change increases, you can't "manage" change, you can only hope to anticipate it and direct it 3) the idea of managing something means it can be measured and controlled, which simply is no longer possible.

Change management has always been an add-on, a concept acknowledged but rarely implemented, in major change situations like implementing a new strategy or a new enterprise system.  Now, change is happening more frequently and more broadly, and we are applying old thinking and old tools to a new problem.

What's needed?  People, systems and processes all familiar with and capable of change.

  • People who are incented to anticipate change and learn new skills and capabilities. This means we need to emphasize training to acquire new skills and incent people to change more often and more rapidly.  Today, most people receive very little training, as training is a cost and easy to cut, and their incentives reinforce the status quo. 
  • Systems that enable change rather than create barriers or lock a company into more rigid and inflexible ways of working.  Today, most computer systems and worse the data they create lock companies into a way of working or methods of analysis that are difficult to adapt and change to new opportunities or business models.  Companies are forced to work around their legacy systems rather than those systems creating dynamic platforms that support change.
  •  Processes that are adaptable to new needs and new business realities and business models.  This should be the easiest of the three - developing dynamic business processes that can scale and adapt to new business needs and business models.  I'm still stunned at how many firms lack good processes that reflect how they claim to do business now, let alone how those businesses can adapt their processes to new needs.

Need to demonstrate that change is vital and necessary for the ongoing success of the business rather than an issue or barrier to be ignored or forcibly overcome.  

What do we need?

Companies need to rethink their entire approach to change.  Rather than avoiding or resisting change, the culture of the business and its strategy must embrace change.  Companies may need a change captain or change accelerator as a senior officer.  Companies need to hone their change skills in the same way that they hone their financial skills or marketing skills, to place as much importance on the awareness and ability to change as they do on other core competencies.

Companies need to know when and why to change, meaning they need better foresight and anticipation of future needs and business models.  Once a business model or customer need is evident, it's often too late to change and adapt, because other competitors have also noticed the need.  Getting better at trend spotting and making sense of what will emerge is important.  After all, change needs to be directed in the best possible outcomes.

Companies and their employees need to be adept at change, incented to change.  Plenty of companies are working in "agile" ways but aren't really agile.  The systems, processes and people need to be more dynamic, able to adjust to new customers and new business models.  This may come at the cost of lower efficiency but will allow for more rapid changes to address emerging needs or markets.

Companies need to hire people who are more plastic, more dynamic and can be generalists who can span multiple needs, rather than deep specialists who are locked into one view or capability.  Companies need to invest more in the people they have and try to retain their best people who are most astute at spotting trends, building the rationalization for change and helping people and the organization change.

Change is strategy

Finally, I'd like to suggest that change IS strategy.  Companies and people need to be able to change, anticipate change, prepare for it and execute change effectively.  If a company is building strategy, a key component of that strategy should be what change is necessary, and how quickly should we be able to change?  Change has traditionally gotten the short shrift, if it was considered at all, when strategy is built.  I believe we'll enter a time very soon where change and the ability to change will become far more central to corporate strategy, and the ability to execute change will become paramount.


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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 8:06 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Failure - learning or leavening?

 As with many other distinctions between large companies and startups, established products and new ideas, there are distinctions between types of failure.  For most corporations, failure is abhorrent, because failure signals a breakdown in an existing product, risk, an inability or unwillingness to follow an established process.  Failure is a loss of revenue, an added cost, a lack of judgement.

A bias against "failure"

We're taught from an early age that failing at anything demonstrates weakness and unreliability.  Failure to show up, failure to get the right answers, failure to get good grades.  Why do you think the most creative time in most people's lives is between 3 years old and say 7 or 8 years old?  Because children are encouraged to be creative and aren't held accountable to getting the "right" answer until grade school.  Then the educational system does all it can to reinforce norms and standards, which is important if you are cracking the genome or building a bridge, but limits creativity and innovation. 

Moving on, most people graduate and go to college, where they are expected to get the right answers and avoid failing, which, as far as I can tell, must be difficult to do when the average Harvard student's GPA is well over a 3.5.  We aren't challenging people to think, or to question what they believe, or what their professors tell them to think.  Again, some physical realities, like gravity, must be accepted, but new ideas and new perspectives should be encouraged.  As Copernicus, Galileo, Newton and others have shown, sometimes accepted knowledge is wrong.  To paraphrase George Bernard Shaw - reasonable people conform their thinking to what's reasonable.  Only unreasonable people challenge the status quo, so all progress is due to unreasonable people.  

Then, people go on to careers or professions, where they are expected to get the right answers, conform to existing processes and systems.  Innovators will tell you that the only real changes that happen in industries will occur as new entrants introduce new concepts or radically different business models.  The reason is that the corporations in the industry have an existing stake in how things operate and would prefer to evolve slowly rather than disrupt how things work today.

Failure in context

So, we find failure in most instances as a significantly negative outcome, when it needs to be considered in its context.  Failure to conform?  Failure to accept the existing way of doing things?  Failing to acknowledge accepted rules and norms that may no longer hold true?  Most learning is based on trying and failing and having the willingness to try again and to learn.  Without failure, the individual or the company is not trying hard enough and certainly isn't learning.  As skiing instructors say - if you aren't falling occasionally, you aren't pushing yourself to get better.

Imagine if the idea of Airbnb had been proposed to the Hilton executives.  The idea is valid (demonstrated by Airbnb itself) but the idea could run afoul of existing rules, norms, processes and perspectives within Hilton and the other hotel chains.  People who advocated for such an idea as managing the rental of private property - rooms in a house for example - would be laughed out of the room.  It took people who were willing to try, to learn, to adapt and who weren't bound by the existing norms to make the idea work.  

Why did Steve Jobs place the original MacIntosh development team in a different office and put a pirate flag on top?  Because he wanted them to think differently than the rest of Apple did and felt that they could not engage or be infected by existing ideas.  It would have been interesting to have seen the alternative future, where the MacIntosh was not successful, to understand what his reaction to trying and failing would have been.

We need to leave room and get far more comfortable with failure, if by failure we mean trying out new ideas, testing established norms, rethinking how we go to market or what a new business model should look like.  Companies that fail to question, fail to test and fail to learn are simply just failing slowly.  Better to fail quickly in a more controlled manner and learn, than to wither away over time.

These actions require a different intent, and different management styles and investment criteria.  Many larger companies think that this is the role of entrepreneurs and start-ups.  They arrogantly believe that small firms can take the risk, and the larger firms will snap up these smaller firms and integrate their solutions.  Ask Google what it felt like to reject Yahoo!'s bid or ask Marriott or Hilton if they should have been the Airbnb before Airbnb.

The impact of failure

One of the most important aspects of failure should be its impact on the individual or company.  For example, if the failure is associated with a tried-and-true process or framework, then concerns should be raised. If the failure is associated with trying a new product or process for the first time, then the tolerance for failure should be relatively high.

There are at least two lenses we should use to evaluate a failure - experience and impact.  If the company has experience and the failure is in a known process or capability, then failure should be considered a problem.  If not, then perhaps a learning opportunity.  Equally, we need to evaluate the impact of a failure.  If a bridge falls because of faulty math, or people become ill because of a poorly blended product, that is an intolerable failure.  On the other hand, if a prototype fails in a simulated test, then we've done what we hoped to do - learn something.

Management teams have become too concerned about "failure" and don't realize its value or place in an organization.  If companies are truly "learn it all, not know it all" as Microsoft claims to be, then failing and learning is a natural consequence.

Learning from failure

Today, most firms need to be constantly learning, constantly adapting.  That means that they need to be trying out new frameworks, new models, new processes.  Some of these will "fail", and from that failure the company need to determine if the failure is catastrophic, and the attempts must cease (the natural implication) or if the work or team needs to change.  Further, companies need to quickly assimilate the insights from failure and adapt.

The purpose of the title of this post - learning or leavening - is to point out that all too frequently, all failure leads to leavening rather than learning, and in the future, we've got to be more comfortable taking chances, testing hypotheses and learning from failure.



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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 7:52 AM 0 comments

Monday, February 12, 2024

Scaling a business depends on controllable factors

 One of my favorite musicians is (was) Warren Zevon, who had a great sense of humor and was also a good musician.  You may be familiar with his song "Werewolves of London" but perhaps one of my favorite songs of his is "Lawyers, Guns and Money".  In the song, he describes what it will take to get out of a particular jam, and notes that neither lawyers, guns or money will get him out of his predicament.

While the song is humorous, it made me think about the reverse question.  Why are some songwriters or musicians so successful, while others, equally talented, aren't successful.  And, if we take the analogy further, can we ask:  what are the factors that make some companies so successful, while others, in the same industry, with the same information, aren't successful?

It's not lawyers (although they may help), it certainly isn't guns, at least not yet, and while money can appear to be an advantage, just remind yourself that Yahoo! was the big search engine when Google was conceived, and Yahoo! could have purchased Google for a reasonable figure in the early days.  Money is helpful but not decisive.

What are the factors that dictate the success or failure of a business, and which of them can we control?  Luck and timing play a part in the success or failure of any business, but what's more important is management focus, alignment, communication and setting priorities.  Easier said than done.

What we can control vs what we cannot control

In any venture, there are factors that the leadership can control, such as when to spend money and what to spend it on.  There are also factors that the company could control, but through inaction, distraction or simple lack of acknowledgement they fail to control.  There are also externalities that cannot be controlled, some observable (competitive actions) and some potentially random (timing and luck).

We ought to ask ourselves as leaders in any company:  what can we control?  Do we have line of sight, awareness and accountability on everything we can control?  Next, what can't we control that we need to be aware of?  What externalities could impact us?  What shifts or trends could reshape our ability to compete?  And finally, what factors are important but perhaps unknowable?

We shut down because...

This takes me back to a funded startup in the early 1990s.  I was working as the global VP of Marketing for a software startup doing data mining on large data sets.  We had the right ideas and were just beginning to show value on customer experience and preventing churn, when the attacks on 9/11 happened.  While our product/market fit wasn't perfect, we were learning and getting better, but at that point we needed another round to get the product exactly right and ready to launch.

We couldn't anticipate what would happen during the attacks, or the way that VC funding dried up after the attacks.  So, about eight months later, the company was no more.  

Looking back, I can say with some certainty that with another round, we probably would have created a compelling product, but with equal certainty that we had more to do to create the software the market wanted.  The unexpected and uncontrollable event doomed us.

It's easy to blame the failure of the company on the lack of VC funds, and many companies shut down and blame externalities, or issues that were out of their control.  These factors do cause issues, for startups and larger firms, but my work over the last decade has taught me that while we often blame these unforeseen and uncontrollable issues for failure, the reality lies much closer to home.

Controlling the controllable

After working in innovation and strategy for over 20 years, a few things are clear.  First, most companies don't really understand what factors they can control, and most leadership teams need help prioritizing and controlling the factors within their control.  A list of some of the things that need focus and control include:

  • What is the company's core value proposition?  Why does what you do matter and why are you truly different than competitors?
  • What is each person's role in the leadership team and next level down?  Where does one person's job or role begin and another one's end?  Are there areas of uncertainty or discord between roles and jobs?  Can you build a RACI model for your business that everyone agrees on?
  • What are the fewest, most important things (priorities) that the leadership team must focus on to achieve their goals?  What shiny objects or nice to haves are regularly paraded about, and how does the leadership team dispose of things that aren't top priority?
  • Is your leadership truly aligned to the same outcomes and goals?  Does their compensation and evaluation align to the company's goals?  Are there disagreements or gaps in the leadership team about strategy, execution or measurement?
  • Is there clear accountability, and are people held accountable to plans and execution?
  • Does the leadership team communicate well within the team, and equally well and equally consistently to the rest of the organization?
If you've read the bulleted list, you'll be thinking just about now that these are basics.  A good leadership team should be doing all of these well.  Yet I can tell you that in my experience working with leadership teams (from VC backed startups to rapidly scaling firms with PE investment to Fortune 500 companies) that these issues recur over and over again, and are the main reason that companies fail to achieve their goals.  It's not lawyers, guns or money, or luck or timing that creates success.  It's focusing relentlessly on the basics.

There is a saying that a well-aligned executive leadership team, with a good strategy, can do just about anything, and I believe that is true, if they are truly of one mind, aligned to a great strategy, with clarity about roles and responsibilities and willing to hold themselves and their teams accountable.  When a leadership team focuses on these basics and does them very well, they are controlling for the things they can control, optimizing and anticipating issues and dealing with them quickly and directly.

The problem is the people

Which leads me to another content favorite - Hard Core History with Dan Carlin.  If you don't listen to Hardcore History, you should. It's a great podcast.  I'm listening now to his account of the war in the Pacific in World War II, and he makes a great point.  Both the Japanese armed forces and the US armed forces were filled with great leaders, good soldiers and weapons.  He points out the problem wasn't with the weapons but with the people.  He makes the case that the war could have ended much more quickly, or differently, "if it was fought by Vulcans".  His point is that emotion and ego often created conflict.  A good example is MacArthur, who let his ego cloud his ability to work with the US Navy.  Carlin's premise, and it's one we all should pay attention to, is that if Vulcans, who decide purely on logic, were in charge, things would be done differently.  Instead, humans are in charge, and we decide based on emotion, knowledge, logic and a host of other factors.

My brief segue about Hard Core History aside, the same concepts are true about leadership teams.  What gets in the way of success are different agendas, misalignment, different priorities, poor communications, distrust, lack of clarity, lack of accountability, poor execution, lack of measurement.  When I talk to leaders in businesses of all sizes, these are the issues that really create difficulty and drag the business away from what it could achieve.  These factors exist in small, underfunded startups and in large, public Fortune 500 companies, because, ultimately, we are people with selfish interests trying to work together to create a company that creates value and rarely do people see eye to eye on everything.

These conditions exist in good times and in bad times, by the way.  When a company is profitable and the markets are good, it's easy to overlook or ignore issues or challenges in these factors.  Then, when hard times hit and it's important to button up and become more effective and efficient, poor habits or lack of focus is hard to change, since it has been ignored previously.

Working it out

While leaders in every organization have a tremendous amount of work on their plates, it makes sense to check in on these factors at least quarterly.  Just as people exercise to keep their bodies fit, companies should review their interactions, alignment, execution and accountability to ensure that the organization works at peak performance.  There are simply too many factors, that are too critical to success, to allow these to atrophy or to gloss over non-compliance.  

And, as these factors become clearer and more closely evaluated, two things will happen.  The organization will work more effectively, freeing up time for executives to focus more on the strategy and less on the day to day, because they are no longer bridging gaps, and, as the engine of the business becomes more efficient, growth and scaling is actually easier to accomplish.


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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 5:00 AM 0 comments

Friday, February 02, 2024

You can't burn data

 As the concept of digital transformation takes root, you may frequently hear comparisons between data and oil.  After all, both are abundant commodities that can create value.  This comparison was strong enough to lead Wired magazine to define data as the new oil in a magazine article some years ago.

On the surface, this comparison seems to make some sense.  Both data and oil are commodities, and exist to some degree in large volumes.  Both have the ability to create incredible wealth when harnessed appropriately.  Both can be used for good purposes or misused.  Both data and oil have interesting issues and side effects, pollution in the case of oil and loss of privacy in the case of data.

But the more you consider the two, the faster the analogy breaks down.  That's because the analogy works at the surface, but when you carefully think about the value propositions and the issues associated with oil and with data, you'll see that there are some really interesting similarities but some stark differences.  We gain value from oil by burning it to generate heat, light or kinetic energy.  The conversion of data to value simply isn't that straightfoward.

Let's look at some interesting similarities first.


Similarities

I'm not a data scientist, but I did start my career developing enterprise systems and worrying about the value and quality of data that flowed through those systems.  Data quality and data volume may not seem like interesting concepts, but when we talk about using data to "transform" a business or process, the data needs to be of the highest quality if decisions are to be based on the data.

Most businesses have a range of data types, data quality and data management, none of which lead to high quality data.  And, as stated previously, without good quality data, you cannot automate or transform anything.  So, all the talk of digital transformation is talk until companies normalize, standardize, simplify their data and ensure it is of the highest quality and veracity.

Another problem many companies face is the Volume and Velocity of data.  And yes, I am capitalizing the Vs because a good way to think about data is in Vs:  Veracity, Volume, Variety and so on.  Veracity or truthfulness or data quality is obviously key, especially when training a machine learning algorithm.  However, veracity is difficult if the data comes in a variety of types and the sheer volume of data is so high that people and machines cannot determine what data is useful and what data isn't.

In other words, most companies need to refine their data, in much the same way that oil coming out of the ground needs to be refined.  Venezuela has perhaps the largest oil reserves on the planet, but since most of its oil is thick and loaded with sulfur, the oil there is of less value and needs to be refined in order to be used effectively.  Oil straight from the ground can be refined into a number of different grades of fuel we consume, from bunker oil for ships to gasoline for cars to home heating oil and many other types.  But raw oil isn't all that useful until it is refined, and sweet crude from Texas is easier to turn into marketable products than Venezuelan oil.  In the same way, some data is more valuable, and easier to put to work, than other kinds of data.  As Einstein said, not everything that is countable counts.

Like oil, data need to be managed, refined, combined and prepared to be used effectively, and few firms have a strong handle on what it takes to manage data and ensure that the data is of high quality when it goes into a system, and remains high quality as it is used, combined with other data and manipulated.  When you stop to consider that the most common reporting mechanism in companies is Excel, where any cell can be changed or any calculation can be written incorrectly, there are thousands of opportunities for even high-quality data to be mis-used or reported incorrectly.

Differences

While it is a simple metaphor to compare oil to data, it is also grossly misleading, for several reasons.

First, oil is a non-renewable commodity.  That is, there is only so much oil in the ground, and it is getting more difficult to extract what's left.  On the other hand, data is getting created every day, by billions of people, about millions of topics, in hundreds of types.  Data is not only renewable, but it is almost inexhaustible, limited only by human creativity and need. Each month we created as much cumulative data as was created from the dawn of writing until last year.  The problem isn't data, the problem is the volume and veracity of the data we are creating.  With so much data generated from so many platforms, how do we know what data is useful and meaningful, and what data is created merely to distract or confuse?  I can imagine it will soon be possible, if it is not already, to create AIs specifically for the purpose of creating seemingly valid information that has little or no basis in reality, to confuse or distort economic projections or scientific inquiry.

Second, while oil was the basis for carving up nation-states in the Middle East after the first World War, data will be the dividing line in the future.  Oil to a great extent is a monopoly based on accidental or purposeful geography.  Some countries - Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and others - have lots of oil, while others - Japan for example - have little or no oil reserves.  Japan has been a major success for a country with limited natural resources such as oil, but data is unlike oil.  Anyone can create data, and almost all of us do so every day.  Increasingly, it's not countries or geographies that control data, but companies.  One could easily say that Meta is the Saudi Arabia of the data stores, since it has so much data about so many individuals.  Nations, which once coveted oil, are just waking up to the value of data and realizing how much power data provides and wondering how virtual companies like Meta and Google have managed to hoover up so much data and become so powerful.  Why is Mark Zuckerberg advising Congress on data?  Because Meta controls more data and has more insight than most agencies in the US Government.

Third, oil has a provenance and a supply chain, for the most part.  That is, we talk about "sweet Texas" crude or Saudi oil or Venezuelan oil.  While oil is a commodity, it typically has a provenance that indicates its value, and further there is a value chain associated with oil.  Oil moves from a driller through a pipeline or other distributor to a refiner and then on to another distributors, a wholesaler and a retailer.  In other words, there are specific value-added components that make up the oil to marketable commodity (such as retail gasoline) that we consume.  Data does not necessarily come with a provenance and does not need a supply chain to reach a consumer.  Anyone can post a data set that they've created, create their own research or surveys, and make that data accessible to almost anyone, instantaneously, on the internet.

Next, oil is a commodity, and certain grades of oil are priced in global markets, regardless of where they are drilled.  Data, on the other hand, is often not quantifiable as to its value or price, and the same data set can be more valuable or less valuable, depending on where it is, who has it and who needs it. A list of names can be very important, if the list is a list of spies in a foreign country, or conversely very unimportant if it is a grocery list for a suburban family.  But if a company could compile thousands of lists of grocery shopping for families in similar circumstances, that compendium of data would become valuable to grocery chains and the brands that sell on grocery store shelves.  The value of data is in the eyes of the beholder, and the value of data varies with a number of factors.   

Finally, since oil is a commodity, it is easy to acquire in a specific grade at a specific price.  Data, on the other hand, is difficult to aggregate, difficult to grade and almost impossible to price.  I recently acquired a list of prospect companies and executives that promised to be up to date and highly accurate.  As I scanned through the list, I quickly found several mistakes or omissions that should have been easy to identify in just the first fifty to one hundred names.  It is hard to keep many types of data accurate and fresh, difficult to validate data without human intervention, which makes almost all data stores suspect to some degree and in need of constant evaluation and refreshing.

Thanks for the analogy, what does this all mean?

In the end, the analogy between oil and data falls apart.  Oil is a standard commodity that for the most part we burn to gain heat or kinetic energy.  We transform oil into one or two potential outcomes, at specified temperatures and pressures.

Data, on the other hand, is not a commodity, is perishable, is constantly renewing and generative, is difficult to price or establish a value for, and we find it difficult to create real quality metrics for data.  Plus, data is not a commodity.  The same data sets have different values at different times to different users.  

What this means is that the talk of digital transformation - using data to fuel a new era of economic growth, in the same way that oil spawned economic growth and benefits in the 20th century, is optimistic or true in some circumstances but not in others.  Companies that want to transform themselves to be more effective and to create new revenue streams based on data must first address the questions of veracity of data, volumes of data, varieties of data.  In a time when analysts suggest than less than 10% of the data that companies currently possess is being used to create value or insight, what leaps of technological advancement and data quality improvement are necessary to base a new economic model on driving competitive advantage from data?  After all, we aren't converting a commodity into heat, light or kinetic energy.  We are transforming trillions of data sets from millions of data sources into useful insight, which companies can act on.  

This means that the benefit to data will be widely and unevenly distributed, highly beneficial in some industries or market segments or niches, and almost impossible to understand in other segments of the economy, for decades yet to come.  Those companies and industries that cleanse their data, understand the variety and volumes of data and who can make sense of the data to convert it into useful insights that indicate future actions will benefit to an enormous degree.  The rich will get far richer.

Many industries will spend billions of dollars trying to get the same benefits, but will lack the basics - good, high-quality data, understanding which data matters, being able to capture and use the most effective and useful data, and being able to convert the data into beneficial actions. 

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posted by Jeffrey Phillips at 8:20 AM 0 comments